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	<title>insideIRAN &#187; Domestic Relations</title>
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		<title>What Does Turkey’s “No”  Vote Mean?</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/featured/what-does-turkey%e2%80%99s-%e2%80%9cno%e2%80%9d-vote-mean/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jun 2010 16:02:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured Article]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=1484</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Kadir Ustun</em><br />
<strong><br />WASHINGTON</strong>—The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) passed the fourth round of sanctions on the Islamic Republic of Iran on June 9, 2010. The U.S. administration made the case that the main objective of Resolution 1929 was to “complement” the&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Kadir Ustun</em><br />
<strong><br />WASHINGTON</strong>—The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) passed the fourth round of sanctions on the Islamic Republic of Iran on June 9, 2010. The U.S. administration made the case that the main objective of Resolution 1929 was to “complement” the dual-track approach the UNSC is pursuing in preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapon capabilities. This approach would involve sanctions targeting specific institutions and individuals while keeping open the possibility of negotiations with Iran. Whether this approach would work with Iran remains a question, a concern shared by Brazil and Turkey, who have voted “no” at the Security Council.<span id="more-1484"></span><br />
<br />
Most analysts agree that another round of sanctions against Iran will not prevent Iran from pursuing its uranium enrichment activities. However, the U.S. administration argues that “smart sanctions” could bring about real results by targeting specific activities, institutions, and individuals suspected of contributing to the development of Iranian nuclear weapon capabilities. The resolution includes bans on nuclear and missile investments abroad, conventional arms, and ballistic missile capabilities, as well as the freezing of assets of specific individuals. It also calls for heightened sensitivity and “vigilance” by the states over the “suspected” cargo, financial activities of Iranian banks, companies, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).<br />
<br />
The resolution comes at a time when the United States virtually has ignored the nuclear swap deal brokered by Turkey and Brazil in May. The administration argues that the deal was not comprehensive and did not address the main concerns of the international community. U.S. officials portrayed it as yet another attempt by Iran to stall the sanctions process and to divide the international community. As a result, instead of welcoming the deal and treating it as a true opportunity for engagement and dialogue with Iran, the United States chose to move forward with sanctions. Although the U.S. officials state that channels of negotiation are open, it will be difficult to convince Iranians that the sanctions are meant to contribute to “confidence-building” measures.<br />
<br />
Turkey supports the peaceful use of nuclear energy and uranium enrichment, which is a right afforded to all signatories of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), of which Iran is a part. This is also reiterated in Resolution 1929, and the Obama administration has repeatedly reaffirmed Iran’s right to access “peaceful use of nuclear energy.” At the same time, Turkey repeatedly has made it clear that it is against Iran developing nuclear weapons. Turkey also recognizes that Iran has not fully cooperated with the international community over its nuclear program and has failed to meet its obligations to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).<br />
<br />
If Turkey is in full agreement with the international community about the use of nuclear technology, why did it vote “no” in the Security Council? The main reason seems to be that Turkey believes sanctions could undermine the diplomacy track. Ankara was disappointed that the nuclear deal achieved with Brazil’s involvement was not given serious consideration as a confidence-building measure. Turkey realizes that Tehran may have agreed to a deal with Brazil and Turkey as a stall tactic and an attempt to divide the international community on the question of sanctions.<br />
<br />
However, in the arrangement brokered by Turkey and Brazil, Iran has agreed for a uranium exchange for the first time, and this is the only concrete deal so far. Iran also met the deadline to submit its proposal to the IAEA. If the international community ignores the deal in favor of tougher sanctions, Turkey believes it will be very difficult, if not impossible, to bring Iran back to the negotiation table.<br />
<br />
On the one hand, Turkey was concerned that voting “yes” would have seriously damaged Turkey’s integrity as a reliable negotiating partner and would alienate Iran even further. On the other hand, Turkey still shared concerns with the international community in regards to Iran’s nuclear program. As a result, while voting “no,” Turkey did not work against the resolution, and even encouraged countries such as Bosnia and Lebanon to make their own decisions instead of following Turkey. Turkey needed to stand behind the nuclear deal it helped reach to demonstrate its commitment to diplomacy.<br />
<br />
Turkey believes that sanctions and military threats are counterproductive in achieving Iran’s full cooperation with the international community and that such measures will only reinforce Tehran’s defiance about its nuclear program by backing Iran up against the wall. Ankara worries that the prospect of a military action against Iran is a destabilizing factor for the region, similar to the invasion of Iraq. Isolating Iran will only exacerbate Iran’s suspicions about the sincerity of U.S. intentions, which would in turn kill any possibility of Iran’s full cooperation with the international community.<br />
<br />
Critiques of Turkey’s recently energized foreign policy direction are framing the Iranian nuclear issue as a matter of Turkey’s abandonment of its traditionally Western-oriented alliances for newer yet more dangerous ones with its unstable Eastern neighbors. Turkish Prime Minister Erdoğan has been criticized for giving Iran “a way out” of its international obligations.<br />
<br />
Such criticisms overlook and disregard Turkey’s perspective on its relations with its neighbors. Turkey aims to maintain good relations with its neighbors based on economic integration, political stability, and regional peace. Achieving a nuclear-free zone in the Middle East is one of the main goals of Turkey. In order to accomplish this, Turkey feels that it needs to base its foreign relations on diplomacy and dialogue instead of sanctions and military threats. The Turkish “no” vote at the UNSC needs to be understood as Turkey’s desire to show its commitment to diplomacy. In that sense, if the Obama administration wants to pursue the “dual-track” approach on Iran, it will have to demonstrate its commitment to the diplomacy track as much as it did to the sanctions track.<br />
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Kadir Ustun is the Research Coordinator at SETA Foundation, a Washington-based think tank.</p>
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		<title>Iran’s Textbooks Have Less Impact Than Meets the Eye</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/featured/iran%e2%80%99s-textbooks-have-less-impact-than-meets-the-eye/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 27 May 2010 17:07:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured Article]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=1322</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Shervin Malekzadeh<br /></em></p>
<p>With limited access to the Islamic Republic, it is perhaps not surprising that Iran watchers routinely turn to that country’s textbooks as ciphers for understanding the effects of the regime’s efforts to produce the New Islamic Citizen.  More often&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Shervin Malekzadeh<br /></em></p>
<p>With limited access to the Islamic Republic, it is perhaps not surprising that Iran watchers routinely turn to that country’s textbooks as ciphers for understanding the effects of the regime’s efforts to produce the New Islamic Citizen.  More often than not, the conclusions that emerge from these investigations confirm what many already presume to know about Iran: that the regime is successfully indoctrinating young Iranians with its brand of militant and anti-western Islam.<span id="more-1322"></span></p>
<p>It doesn’t take much effort to see that the efficacy of the IRI’s school system has been over stated.  The wave of protests that swept the country in the wake of the 2009 presidential election demonstrated that many, if not most of Iran’s student population, have their own ideas as to what counts as a “good Muslim,” ideas that increasingly diverge from the interests of the state.  Indeed, no less a figure than Iran’s Supreme Leader has condemned the schools for failing to serve the needs of the regime, even going so far as to accuse his Ministry of Education in 2006&#8212;well before the rise of the Green Movement&#8212;of running a school system that was little different from the “anti-religious” and “West struck” outfit that operated under the Shah.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1362" title="1" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/12-150x150.jpg" alt="1" width="150" height="150" /><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1363" title="2" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/24-150x150.jpg" alt="2" width="150" height="150" />One reason that the scholarship exaggerates the impact of textbooks on students is because researchers tend to impose an unnatural coherence to the curriculum by drawing their conclusions from a historically narrow set of textbooks, taking what is effectively a single snapshot in time of the history of post-revolutionary schooling in Iran.</p>
<p>Reports such as those recently put out by the Israel-based Center for Monitoring of the Impact of Peace (CMIP)  and Freedom House treat the changes made to Iranian schoolbooks in the aftermath of the 1979 Revolution as complete, cogent, and final&#8212;in effect transforming the curriculum and the textbooks into static and “sacred” objects with transitive properties that can be carried across the entire post-revolutionary period.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1364" title="3" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/31-150x150.jpg" alt="3" width="150" height="150" /><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1365" title="4" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/42-150x150.jpg" alt="4" width="150" height="150" /></p>
<p>Through our lens we see that schooling in Iran is above all a highly politicized, contingent, and contested institution.  Educational planners wish to produce the perfect Islamic society; they just haven’t been able to reach a consensus as to what the content or form of that idealized society ought to be.</p>
<p>Take for example the concept of Islamic modesty. As an illustration of Islamicization following the Revolution, Hamid Dabashi, a professor at Columbia University, points to the opening lesson of the First Grade Farsi primer. There, the classroom teacher in the prerevolutionary version is transformed from a young woman wearing a tight-fitting sweater and skirt to a more decorous (if less sexy) instructor outfitted with a plain baggy dress.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1359" title="5" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/52-150x150.jpg" alt="5" width="150" height="150" /><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1360" title="6" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/62-150x150.jpg" alt="6" width="150" height="150" /><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1366" title="8" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/81-150x150.jpg" alt="8" width="150" height="150" /></p>
<p>Dabashi ends his analysis there even though other variations on Islamic dress existed at the same time and in other parts of the IRI’s curriculum.  The ensemble of a simple headscarf and unadorned blouse and skirt was considered monaseb or appropriate enough for a classroom teacher welcoming her students or a mother dropping her son off on his first day of elementary school in the Second Grade Farsi textbook.  By 1982 this look was out for the teacher, her scarf replaced by a snug  maghnaeh  placed over a nondescript dress.    It was only in 1987, a full eight years after the Revolution, that illustrators rectified the situation by pouring a black chador over the woman’s figure.</p>
<p>Around the time that the wayward mom was getting her makeover Iran’s curriculum was entering its most strident phase.  In general the late 1980s represents the apogee of what might be called schooling’s “arc of Islamicization.”  Textbook images become militant and harsh in ways not seen even during the peak of the Cultural Revolution.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1371" title="9" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/91-150x150.jpg" alt="9" width="150" height="150" /><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1372" title="10" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/101-150x150.jpg" alt="10" width="150" height="150" /></p>
<p>Ayatollah Khomeini, who up until then was mostly absent from the textbooks, was inserted for the first time into the front matter of the textbooks, occupying the space previously reserved f or the Shah and the royal family.  The smallest detail was not overlooked:  the dog in the poster from the opening lesson of the First Grade Farsi textbook disappears in the 1987 edition, presumably because of religious prohibitions against dogs as unclean (<em> najes</em> ) animals, leaving the young girl to point at an empty country road.</p>
<p>This period did not last long, and by the early 1990s the textbooks were already riding the downward slope of the arc.  The chanting young militants on the back cover were replaced by a more mundane safety message (“Kids be careful!”) and accompanied by cautionary images of children engaged in dangerous shenanigans, including playing with knives and sticking a hand into a meat grinder.  Khomeini remained in the front of the textbooks, but was now transformed from the figure of the stern revolutionary into the kindly grandfather of the nation.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1373" title="11" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/111-150x150.jpg" alt="11" width="150" height="150" /><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1374" title="12" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/121-150x150.jpg" alt="12" width="150" height="150" /></p>
<p>In recent years an equilibrium seems to have been reached between two concepts.  Today artifacts from the Islamic and pre-Islamic nation are redolent and (literally) sit without problem or complication next to each to other in the textbooks.  An example of reconciliation can be found on the very first page of the current First Grade Farsi textbook.  Here we see a scene of a family reading together in their apartment.  Clearly visible in the bookshelf in the corner of the picture books containing the epic poems of Iran’s national poets, including the <em> Divan</em> of  Hafez, Sa’adi’s <em> Golestan</em> , and Ferdowsi’s <em>Shahnameh</em> , as well as copies of the Koran and Imam Ali’s <em> Naj al-Balagha</em> .  Visible on the wall behind the family is a framed picture of the ruins at Persopolis.</p>
<p><img class="alignnone size-thumbnail wp-image-1377" title="13" src="http://www.insideiran.org/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/131-150x150.jpg" alt="13" width="150" height="150" />In the end, textbooks may be more useful as symptoms of politics in Iran than as measures of indoctrination.  Research on the ground and in the classroom by scholars such as the Iranian sociologist Mohammad Rezaei indicates that most students in Iran use textbooks to do well on tests, and above all to prepare for the university entrance exam, the dreaded <em> konkur</em> .  Children take away from the material only those facts that will ensure their academic success.  For all of the attention that textbooks receive by outside observers, it is quite likely that they are the last place we ought to look to determine the success or failure of the state’s hegemonic project.</p>
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		<title>Iran&#8217;s Kurdish Question</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/news/irans-kurdish-question/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 18 May 2010 14:09:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=1264</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Kawe Qoraishy</em><br />
<em><br />The Islamic Republic&#8217;s recent execution of five Kurds has sparked outrage in northern Iraq, and renewed unrest at home.<br /></em></p>
<p>Two days after the hanging of five Iranian Kurds in Tehran, protesters gathered across the Iraqi border in the Kurdish city&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Kawe Qoraishy</em><br />
<em><br />The Islamic Republic&#8217;s recent execution of five Kurds has sparked outrage in northern Iraq, and renewed unrest at home.<br /></em></p>
<p>Two days after the hanging of five Iranian Kurds in Tehran, protesters gathered across the Iraqi border in the Kurdish city of Suleymanieh. Thousands of them crowded into the city&#8217;s leafy Freedom Park, where Javad Alizadeh, a well-known former political prisoner in Iran who had recently left for Iraqi Kurdistan, addressed the gathering. The Iranian regime &#8220;follows neither the principles of republicanism, nor does it abide by holy laws of Islam,&#8221; Alizadeh declared. &#8220;The Islamic Republic has shown in the past 30 years that it only cares about its own survival and it will not abstain from committing the vilest of acts in achieving its goal.&#8221;<span id="more-1264"></span><br />
<br />
The memorial was one of the greatest outpourings of Kurdish opposition to the regime in recent memory, and one among numerous protests and hunger strikes &#8212; quiet ones in Iran, less so in Iraq&#8217;s Kurdish region, where Kurds were once persecuted but now enjoy relative autonomy &#8212; that have broken out since the execution on May 9. The victims, the Iranian authorities claimed, were activists for Kurdish autonomy; two of the five were accused of belonging to the Party of Free Life of Kurdistan (PJAK), a Kurdish nationalist group that Iran considers a terrorist organization. The uproar has prompted, and been worsened by, the government&#8217;s refusal to allow the families of the five victims to be buried publicly, for fear of massive protests.<br />
<br />
The executions and other crackdowns in Iran have set up a bind for the country&#8217;s Kurds, who increasingly fear that the price of political activism within Iran is death or imprisonment &#8212; but worry that their abilities to pressure the regime will be lessened if they instead choose exile in northern Iraq, where the Kurds enjoy protection by their own defense forces. Since President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad came to power in 2005, religious and ethnic minorities have faced worsening discriminatory practices in Iran, the Kurds (who are also mostly Sunni Muslim in majority Shiite Iran) among them. When human rights and political activists have protested the unequal status, the Islamic Republic has prosecuted many of them. Most recently, Kaweh Ghassemi-Kermanshahi, a member of the central committee of the Kurdistan Human Rights Organization, was arrested after he spoke to the foreign media; he has been in detention for nearly 100 days.<br />
<br />
The demonstrators in Suleymaniah hope their protests and vigils will inspire the Kurds in Iran to rise up, despite their fear of Iran&#8217;s security forces. (They succeeded last Thursday, when Iranian Kurds responded by launching a general strike and shuttering their shops.) Salahaddin Mohtadi, an exiled Iranian Kurd in Suleymaniah who has been fighting for Kurdish independence in Iran since the 1979 Islamic revolution, believes that Iran&#8217;s recent actions could be the goad that activists need to form a broad Kurdish front that transcends political rivalries. &#8220;The execution of political prisoners can be a great opportunity to create a large coalition among Kurdish parties against the central government of Iran,&#8221; he said.<br />
<br />
On the evening of May 10, hundreds of Iranian and Iraqi Kurds took part in a protest gathering at the Shneh Dari Park in Erbil, the capital of Iraqi Kurdistan, where demonstrators lit candles in memory of Sunday&#8217;s victims. Farhad Pirbal, a dissident Kurdish author who spoke at the event, compared what is happening now in Iran to the repression of Iraqi Kurds under Saddam Hussein. &#8220;There was a time when Baathist agents executed young Kurds right here in the neighborhood just because they were carrying cassette tapes with Kurdish music on them,&#8221; Pirbal said. &#8220;But now, we are here at this very place in freedom protesting against a regime that hangs Kurds for the crime of defending their own rights.&#8221;<br />
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&#8220;No dictatorship can last forever,&#8221; he went on. &#8220;There was a time when the demise of the Baath regime seemed impossible. &#8230; I am sure that there will be a day when the Iranian people will be free of dictatorship and achieve liberty.&#8221;<br />
<br />
Life in the Kurdish provinces in Iran, meanwhile, remains tense. There is a heavy security presence in places such as Kamyaran, Sanandaj, Mahabad, and Saghez, and local Kurdish media reported that 15 students were arrested Wednesday morning in the Kurdish city of Marivan. Thursday&#8217;s strike in the region was reportedly the largest in recent years; bazaars were empty, students and activists stayed home, even government offices were closed. These five executions, the activists believe, don&#8217;t just mark the end of the victims&#8217; lives, but also the beginning of a new era in which the Iranian regime will have to answer to its critics.</p>
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		<title>Q&amp;A: Mohammad Reza Heidari on why diplomats like himself and other Iranian government officials are now opposed to the state</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/featured/qa-mohammad-reza-heidari-on-why-diplomats-like-himself-and-other-iranian-government-officials-are-now-opposed-to-the-state/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Apr 2010 19:58:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=1201</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Mohammad Reza Heidari, a high-ranking Iranian diplomat in Norway, announced in December that  he was quitting the foreign ministry and not returning to Tehran. He now lives in Norway, where he spoke with insideIRAN.org </em><br />
<br />
<em>Q: Why did you leave your&#8230;</em></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Mohammad Reza Heidari, a high-ranking Iranian diplomat in Norway, announced in December that  he was quitting the foreign ministry and not returning to Tehran. He now lives in Norway, where he spoke with insideIRAN.org </em><br />
<br />
<em>Q: Why did you leave your post at the Iranian embassy in Norway and cut off ties with the Islamic Republic? </em><!--more><br />
<br />
A: This did not happen over night. My friends and I followed the events of Iran as diplomats. My colleagues and I always talked about the progress other countries have made and compared that to the situation in Iran. Then we had the June 12 election. Everyone was shocked by the level of cheating. On election day, I was in charge of the ballot box at the embassy and I never thought this was going to happen. Large numbers of Iranian expats voted in the election and Moussavi won in our precinct. Then the government in Iran reacted violently to people inside the country who were asking that  their votes to be counted. These horrific scenes and seeing for ourselves the government killing our youth on the streets made me resign my post in order to motivate the Iranian people to continue their fight.<br />
<br />
<em>Q: Are there people in Iran benefiting from the government but are now against the system out of moral objections to the actions of the government? How large is this group? Are they growing in number? </em><br />
<br />
A. Even the founders of the Islamic Republic, people like Moussavi and Karroubi who worked in the highest echelons of the system for many years, admit that this is a government that tries to make people dependent on its existence. Almost all my colleagues reached the same conclusion. They see no future in the path the government has chosen. The vast majority of experts who work for Iran’s foreign policy  apparatus  have objections to what has been happening. Many of them have fled the country. Some have resigned quietly and some are resigning their posts as we speak. I think more complicated issues will challenge the regime and hopefully, this year will be their final year and the Iranian people will taste freedom.<br />
<br />
<em>Q. Is there widespread dissatisfaction only in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs or is there widespread dissatisfaction in the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps or the Ministry of Intelligence? </em><br />
<br />
A. This is true about every institution in the government. When they send diplomats on foreign missions, they send us through multiple layers of security screenings. We were among those who served during the Iran—Iraq war. I have friends in the IRGC, the basij, the Ministry of Intelligence, Iran’s radio and television, and other places who are against the government. They have to cooperate with the government because if they do otherwise, they will face many severe challenges. This issue requires a national will. Strikes are on the way. Teachers, who went on strike, have started the right thing. Iranian laborers are on the same path.<br />
<br />
<em>Q: How fearful is the Iranian government? </em><br />
<br />
They have gathered a bunch of commoners around them to protect themselves. They try to associate the Green Movement with the rich and then tie them to Western countries. They are terrified. I am from the lower classes and I worked for the government for many years. All my friends are the same. The government has to spend large sums of money to feed people and bus them into cities in order to generate crowds for pro-government demonstrations. But they are still unable to address the basic causes of widespread dissatisfaction.<br />
<br />
<em>Q: The dissatisfaction you are talking about is just simply dissatisfaction with the government or are these friends of yours in the government questioning the very legitimacy of the regime? </em><br />
<br />
The legitimacy of the regime was gradually destroyed by the actions of the regime since the June 12 election. The current government does not have legitimacy and it is only a body to carry out the responsibilities of the executive branch. With the crimes they committed, torture and rape, the regime has lost its legitimacy. They have been able to remain in power only through terrorizing the masses and using their coercive apparatus. New challenges such as sanctions are going to make matters much worse.<br />
<br />
<em>Q: The rhetoric of the EU has gotten much harsher towards Iran. What is the reason behind that? </em><br />
<br />
A: European countries have always been interested in their national interests. They did not care about what happened in Iran. But now, they realize a stable Iran is more suitable for investments and it would also prevent the flight of so many Iranians seeking asylum in Europe. The Europeans are tired of a regime that supports terrorism and is a major obstacle to peace in the Middle East. This Iranian government does not serve their long-term interests.<br />
<br />
<em>Q: What do you think about possible sanctions against Iran? </em><br />
<br />
A: Sanctions must be smart and targeted and only go after the ruling elite. These sanctions should not affect the Iranian people. Countries should not issue visas for the leaders of Iran and their families. Companies should be banned from dealing with the IRGC. The last issue I would like to mention is human rights. Western countries must make human rights the priority. Iran has made such a big deal of the nuclear program to divert attention from its human rights abuse. </p>
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		<title>Khamenei Lashes Out Against Perceived Threats</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/featured/khamenei-lashes-out-against-perceived-threats/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Apr 2010 21:15:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured Article]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=1166</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Babak B. and Arash Aramesh</em><br />
<strong><br />TEHRAN</strong> &#8212; Iran is responding harshly to the U.S.–sponsored nuclear summit, which opened April 12 in Washington. The state-run media is filled with articles about an impending threat from the West – an attempt to alert Iranian&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Babak B. and Arash Aramesh</em><br />
<strong><br />TEHRAN</strong> &#8212; Iran is responding harshly to the U.S.–sponsored nuclear summit, which opened April 12 in Washington. The state-run media is filled with articles about an impending threat from the West – an attempt to alert Iranian society that, at least according to Iran’s leaders, the country is again a victim of Western aggression.<br />
<br />
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad went as far as to declare that the world leaders attending the summit were “stupid” and “retarded.”<!--more><br />
<br />
The alarmist reaction from Iran began with the announcement last week of the United States’ new nuclear policy – which is to discourage the use of nuclear weapons against any country, aside from Iran and North Korea .The reaction from the Iranian government to President Obama’s remarks is an indicator that Tehran feels deeply threatened by recent developments regarding the international community’s commitment to deal with Iran’s nuclear program.<br />
<br />
In a meeting with Iran’s top military brass, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said, “The U.S. nuclear threat against Iran is unforgivable.” According to Kayhan, a pro-government newspaper with close links to the Supreme Leader, Khamenei said that those countries that have used nuclear weapons against other countries cannot be trusted. Khamenei called on the country’s military forces to be prepared in dealing with any potential threat.<br />
<br />
Pro-government newspapers and websites dedicated significant space to Obama’s remarks and Iran’s harsh response to them. Of Kayhan’s six front page stories, five of them on April 12 were related to Obama’s remarks, the reaction of Iranian officials to those remarks, and the potential consequences of a military strikes against Iran.<br />
<br />
Brig Gen Ahmad-Reza Pourdastan, the commander of ground forces of the Iranian military, said April 12, “Countries that support any incursion against Iran will also be perceived as enemies,” warning Iran’s neighbors and U.S. allies in the Persian Gulf.<br />
<br />
Members of the Iranian parliament signed a petition April 12 urging Iran to sue the United States. They said that Obama’s statements were “criminal” and were unbecoming of a statesman.<br />
<br />
Clearly Iran is alarmed and with good reason. Tehran was not invited to attend the summit, but China and Russia – Iran’s allies whose consent will be needed to pass sanctions on Iran in the United Nations – did participate. Russia and China have announced their implicit support for inevitable sanctions against Iran. These two global powers are Iran’s main economic partners. In comparison to other countries, Russia and China have the most trade with Iran, with the trade balance in their favor.<br />
<br />
The past behavior of Russia and China is troubling for Iranian officials. As Iran’s main global backers, Russia and China have at times parted ways with Iran and moved closer to the United States and the West. The Iranian government is worried that it will be used by the Russians and the Chinese as bargaining chips against the United States and the West in the region.<br />
<br />
Part of the alarm within Iran’s government is that the state is having difficulty dealing with two crises at once – the international crisis over its nuclear program and its domestic crisis. Rivalry within the government itself is having a paralyzing effect on governance. The state would like to use the new U.S. nuclear threat to rally the masses behind the flag, but it is unknown how successful these efforts will be.<br />
<br />
One such national crisis is the clash between Ahmadinejad’s administration and the parliament over reforming Iran’s subsidies, which should be correctly called “operating surgery on the ill body of Iran’s economy.” Although the volume of protests against the disputed results of the June 12 election have significantly decreased, and the Green Movement appears to have reached its end, the implementation of the subsidy reform will create a massive inflation hike which will then result in Ahmadinejad’s systemic incompetence in managing the country’s economy, leading to a much bigger legitimacy problem for the Islamic Republic.<br />
<br />
Therefore, neither the parliament nor the government wants to accept responsibility for the devastating effects of this bill. The executive branch has come up with excuses not to accept the parliament’s bill and in return has asked the parliament to double its budget. The administration has entered into a serious fight with the parliament and refuses to enforce the laws.<br />
<br />
What is certain is that the domestic turmoil coupled with international pressure on Iran’s economy has put Iranian officials in a bad situation. In the short term, this may force them to accept the demands of the 5+1 and the international community and would thus prevent the further implementation of tougher sanctions; something that is not the true wish of Western powers either.</p>
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		<title>Q&amp;A: Mojtaba Vahedi on why President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad May Not Finish his term in office</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/news/qa-mojtaba-vahedi-on-why-president-mahmoud-ahmadinejad-may-not-finish-his-term-in-office/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Apr 2010 12:51:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Features]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=1159</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Mojtaba Vahedi is a senior advisor to opposition cleric Mehdi Karroubi. Vahedi recently came to study in the United States and spoke to insideIRAN.org from Washington.</em><br />
<br />
<em>Q: How do you view the state of the opposition movement now? Is the Green&#8230;</em></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Mojtaba Vahedi is a senior advisor to opposition cleric Mehdi Karroubi. Vahedi recently came to study in the United States and spoke to insideIRAN.org from Washington.</em><br />
<br />
<em>Q: How do you view the state of the opposition movement now? Is the Green Movement still capable of organizing large crowds and large demonstrations? </em><span id="more-1159"></span><br />
<br />
A: I believe that the Green Movement is capable of attracting large crowds. I also believe that since the June 12 election, people’s dissatisfaction with Ahmadinejad has multiplied because of many false promises he made. There is another question here. How would another demonstration be received by the government? The leaders of the Islamic Republic have shown that they would not shy away from doing anything in order to stop demonstrations. Different people are willing to pay different costs for their goals. Some people might go as far as death. Most people, however, are not interested in that. I said this earlier that if a fraction of the level of violence that occurred in Tehran had occurred here in Washington, D.C., people would have gone to their homes and never returned to the streets again.<br />
<br />
There is great potential in the people. This is evident from the fact that people take advantage of every opportunity to protest despite all threats.<br />
<br />
<em>Q:What are the concrete political goals of the opposition at this stage? Do you think there is a chance of running candidates in the next parliamentary  election? Do you think there is a chance for a political compromise with the regime?</em><br />
<br />
A: People were after free and fair elections in accordance with international standards. Another demand was also added to their list of demands after the election. People are repelled by being insulted and condescended. They believe that they were insulted and belittled in this election. Prior to the election, and for a short  period of time, the political climate in Iran was fair and open. People chanted various slogans ridiculing the president. After the election, people started to realize that this was a trick to get more people to the voting booths so the government could brag about forty million people turning out to vote. By the way, I do not believe that 40 million people participated in the election. At any rate, those in charge fooled the people in a way just so they could brag about it. People found this to be very insulting. Now, people want a government that would not try to deceive its own people. The main goals of the Green Movement are transparency in elections and honesty in dealing with people.<br />
<br />
Based on my own experience, the Guardian Council does not behave in accordance with the law. But its behavior does change as a result of domestic and outside pressure. They are very fragile when facing outside pressure. The Guardian Council will close its eyes on everything when there is outside pressure. Today, however, the same kinds of pressures may not work so today’s pressures must be according to the conditions on the ground. Regardless of the Guardian Council’s behavior, I personally am opposed to participating in the upcoming parliamentary election. Even if Mr. Khamenei says he would guarantee the fairness of the election, we cannot trust him for he made similar promises regarding the June 12 election.<br />
<br />
In my opinion, internal rifts in the conservative camp are becoming so deep that there is the possibility for some conservatives to move closer to the reformist camp and take advantage of their [reformist’s] power to put pressure on their rivals. That is why I am against taking part in elections. The Green Movement should not be used so one conservative faction would overcome another hardliner faction. There is no point in participating in elections as long as there are no guarantees about the fairness of the election.<br />
<br />
The Iranian government has proven that it only understands the language of force. The Iranian government is not to be trusted. And please tell me who this so-called government is? Is it (Parliamentary Speaker) Ali Larijani or (Judiciary Chief) Sadegh Larijani? Is it Ahmadinejad or Khamenei? Is it all of them or none of them? Please tell me who this government is? They keep changing their positions too. Tell me who they are! I want to go negotiate with every single one of them! Seven years ago, some newspapers promoted traditional ceremonies prior to Nowrouz; this year, the very same people condemned those ceremonies and called them sacrilegious.<br />
<br />
<em>Q:What is the role of opposition figures, such as yourself, who live outside Iran? Do you plan to return to Iran? Do you coordinate your efforts with opposition figures inside Iran?</em><br />
<br />
 Living abroad now allows us to say clearly what we used to say through signals. People of Iran want their voices to be heard. Our role as those who reflect the events happening inside  Iran to the world is very effective. Whatever needs to happen must be done by the Iranian people. Therefore, we are just acting as individuals who try to inform and provide information to the inside. Let’s say I go to Iran. I will not be able to do anything alone. The world needs to know these men [the Iranian leadership].<br />
<br />
As for coordinating with those inside Iran, I don’t call to ask permission from Mr. Karroubi to do an interview with you or anyone else. Even when I was his adviser and chief of staff, I never worked like that. I believe that what I say and what I do are not in contradiction with the main goals of the Green Movement and will help these goals eventually.<br />
<br />
<em>Q: Some have argued that Ahmadinejad will not finish his term. Khatami said last week that the current situation was not going to last long. Karroubi and Moussavi have both said that this situation is unsustainable. What is your opinion?</em><br />
<br />
I believe that Ahmadinejad will not finish his term not because of the Green Movement or what Khatami said about him. He will not finish his term because he thinks he is a partner in power with Khamenei and he thinks he is a “somebody” now. Khamenei cannot tolerate anyone who thinks he is a “somebody.” It is no different to Khamenei whether this “somebody” is Abdolkarim Soroush or Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Khamenei was looking for someone who needed him.<br />
<br />
<em>Q:Do you think that international sanctions will force the Iranian government to change its course regarding the nuclear program? Are these sanctions going to help or hurt the opposition?</em><br />
<br />
A:: Sanctions will certainly expedite the fall of the regime. I am an Iranian too. I don’t like sanctions. They are blaming the sanctions for the government’s mismanagement already, such as plane crashes. The government will welcome sanctions.  Imagine the government sending its agents to buy goods with suitcases full of cash. Even without sanctions, the government is incompetent! Why are they rationing gasoline right now when there are no gasoline sanctions? </p>
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		<title>Iran Arrests Key Activists Working to End Cyberspace Censorship</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/news/iran-arrests-key-activists-working-to-end-cyberspace-censorship/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Mar 2010 15:04:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Features]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=1090</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Keyhan Kasravi</em><br />
<strong><br />BERLIN</strong>—Last week, the office of Tehran’s General and Revolutionary Courts announced that thirty individuals suspected of having been involved in organized cyber wars were arrested after a series of complicated intelligence operations in the field of communications technology. This&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Keyhan Kasravi</em><br />
<strong><br />BERLIN</strong>—Last week, the office of Tehran’s General and Revolutionary Courts announced that thirty individuals suspected of having been involved in organized cyber wars were arrested after a series of complicated intelligence operations in the field of communications technology. This followed a wave of attacks against anti-government websites and blogs by a group called Iran’s Cyber Army.<span id="more-1090"></span><br />
<br />
Similar to many prior security cases, the news about these arrests first appeared in Kayhan and Fars News, both of which are run by hardliners close to the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps. In their reports, they claimed that $50 million dollars was appropriated by the CIA for this cyber group and this group was engaged in infiltrating and sabotaging Iranian websites, fighting government’s filtering efforts, providing web security for users of illegal anti-government websites, and providing a safe haven to establish phone communication and transfer of data for foreign media in order to interview activists inside the country.<br />
<br />
To discredit its members, the government tried to demonstrate ties between this group and the monarchists and the People’s Mojahedin Organization. The government also tried to exaggerate the “sophisticated and complex” nature of this intelligence operation to demonstrate its intelligence and security abilities. Human rights activists, however, believe that these actions are parts of a new scenario to “intensify pressure on activists fighting censorship and those involved in human rights activities, instilling fear in users and promoting the idea that the Internet is not a trustworthy source of information, and reasserting the claim that the Green Movement is linked to foreign intelligence services, especially the CIA.”<br />
<br />
After finding out more details about these arrests, it turned out that the group arrested by Iranian authorities was the committee against censorship in Iran that goes by the name Iran Proxy. This group is composed of students specializing on the Internet that began its activities in mid 2003 amid the government’s expansion of filtering efforts. These individuals aimed to spread the culture of free speech and free thought and promote anti-censorship ideas. In recent years, this group has played a key role to spread and promote various ways to break government filtering and censorship efforts. This group took advantage of online resources to pass through walls of censorship and secure its online communications in order to remain safe from government tracking efforts. They announced that to reach their goals, they “would use resources provided by NGOs, human rights organizations, and domestic and international media.”<br />
<br />
Among the founders of this group, Hossein Ronaghi, also known in the cyber community as Babak Khorramdin, founded Iran Proxy and was the most important technical expert who was arrested. He was arrested two months ago after receiving death threats from the IRGC and security services. Pro-government and state-owned media had accused this group of plotting to overthrow the government and now, in a surprising move, claim that the CIA gave Ronaghi $50 million of the operation.<br />
<br />
In recent years, the Iranian government has adopted a two-faceted policy in regard to cyberspace. On the one hand, Iranian security and intelligence forces, fully aware of the impact of the Internet on the Iranian people, have taken over Internet and communications infrastructure, such as companies providing Internet services, and tried to decrease the level of effectiveness of the Internet by intensifying the filtering of undesirable websites, and hiring hackers and saboteurs to sabotage the activities of various opposition websites.<br />
<br />
On the other hand, the government has supported groups such as Internet Jihad and the Cyber Army that partake in efforts commonly known as cyber crime, going so far to call it a “holy Internet battle.” Recently, in an unprecedented move, General Naini, Basij’s cultural and social deputy commander, announced, “by the end of this year [in the Iranian calendar], cyberspace will be conquered by hezbollahi forces.”<br />
<br />
In the aftermath of the disputed June 12 election, Iranian users took advantage of social networking sites such as Facebook and Twitter to organize demonstrations and inform the outside world of the protest of the Iranian people. This creative move was accompanied by the introduction of new terms to the Iranian political literature such as “velvet revolution” and “soft overthrow” in which the Internet was named as one of the most important tools of overthrowing the Iranian government.<br />
<br />
In 2009, the IRGC established a Cyber Defense Command. This was the most significant move by the Iranian government to counter online sedition and soft overthrow while hiding behind the notion of defending human rights. This influential institution, which according to experts has received an enormous amount of funding, became responsible for investigating cyber crimes, and the Cyber Army has operated as one of its subordinate groups. The IRGC, taking full advantage of its power and influence in the parliament and other related institutions, has been able to pass legislation it found favorable in regard to cyber crimes and Internet activities. According to these laws, distributing anti-filtering technology or introducing the public to methods bypassing censorship are considered criminal activity.<br />
<br />
In order to create this Cyber Defense Command, the IRGC employed some of the best experts in the field by offering outrageous salaries, up to five thousand dollars a month. Some experts, who were unwilling to cooperate, were threatened by the government and forced to submit to IRGC’s will. There are rumors that, prior to their arrest, thirty individuals had received offers from the IRGC asking them to cooperate with the government’s efforts.<br />
<br />
Arresting anti-censoring activists and intensifying Internet filtering and cyber monitoring by the government are among the many attempts made by the government to immunize itself from the wide-reaching impact of the Internet on Iran’s democratic movement. Communications sociologists, however, believe that the nature of the Internet exposes any effort made to suppress free and open activity. In their opinion, these efforts might slow down the developments, but increase the power of abrupt and sudden actions. A prominent Iranian professor of communications at a major university in Tehran says, “The IRGC is already defeated in the fight against cyber developments.”</p>
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		<title>Clerics, not Judges, Decide Who Is Mohareb</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/news/clerics-not-judges-decide-who-is-mohareb/</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Mar 2010 14:11:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Clerics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Features]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=1071</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Rasool Nafisi</em><br />
<br />
<strong>WASHINGTON</strong>—Browsing through the Iranian journals and listening to the current discourses in that country, one might be shocked to find out that a major debate is under way over whether the government is entitled to “cut the right arm&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Rasool Nafisi</em><br />
<br />
<strong>WASHINGTON</strong>—Browsing through the Iranian journals and listening to the current discourses in that country, one might be shocked to find out that a major debate is under way over whether the government is entitled to “cut the right arm and the left leg” of those opposing the regime. But such is the state of discourse in a country that enjoyed a century of secular life and a penal code largely copied from those in France and Belgium, before it became an Islamic state.<span id="more-1071"></span><br />
<br />
Today, people actually could lose their limbs or lives simply because an ayatollah believed it should happen. The case in point is the recent conundrum over the death sentence for a student who was found guilty of throwing rocks “three times” at the police in a demonstration. The judge used the fatwa by an ayatollah to back up his verdict; fortunately, the ayatollah backed down, and the student is still alive.<br />
 <br />
In the case, an Iranian court condemned to death a twenty-year-old student, Mohammad-Amin Valian, for mohareba, or fighting against God and His Messenger. He was accused of violating the sanctity of the day of Ashura, the time of mourning for Shiite Muslims over the unjust martyrdom of the third Imam. The presiding judge referred to a fatwa by Ayatollah Nasser Makarem-Shirazi, who called the demonstrators mohareb who deserved a death sentence.<br />
<br />
As soon as the case was publicized, the oppositional cleric Ayatollah Yousef Sanei rebutted the opinion and issued his own fatwa saying participation in the demonstrations is not considered mohareba, but indeed in certain circumstances it is mandatory for Muslims to participate in such oppositional actions.<br />
<br />
Ayatollah Bayat-Zanjani followed suit immediately, and even announced that those who attack people and bludgeon them (that is, the security forces) are the real moharebs, because they use weapons against other Muslims. Eventually, Makarem-Shirazi himself had to intervene and go back on his words, saying, “We have never issued [the mohareba fatwa] against such people [demonstrators].” He claimed that “some people” (that is, Ahmadinejad supporters, and especially his advisors, such as Mashaee) use this and other tactics to weaken the institution of Marjaia (highest rank of clergy). Shortly after this clerical scramble, Attorney General Salavati announced that Valian’s death sentence “is not final.”<br />
<br />
The fact of the matter is that Ayatollah Makarem-Shirazi had indeed preached against the violators in the sacred day of Ashura, and called for sentencing them like a mohareb. There could be multiple reasons why he changed his verdict. Obviously, the public outcry against the death sentence of a kid accused of stone-throwing was the main reason. But the reversal by Makarem also demonstrates how some of Iran’s clerics run their mouths before thinking of the consequences of their statements. Most clerics in power are not used to behaving like state officials, and they still act like Shiite preachers, using the hyperbolic and sanctimonious language of the pulpit.<br />
<br />
Why did the judge use Makarem’s statement as the basis for his verdict? Was he really trying to undermine Makarem, as he later claimed? To the contrary, it seems that the judge was trying to sanctify Makarem’s assertions. Isn’t it the final test of greatness when even your passing words can cause life and death for others, especially a young man?<br />
<br />
More important, what about the due process of the Islamic court? How can a judge discard the penal code of the country, and just use a single sermon of a cleric to condemn someone to death? Isn’t it a breach of the laws of the country? Well, not really. In the hierarchy of the legal system, primacy belongs to the Shariah, not the Constitution of Iran (which itself is largely based on Shariah). As a result, the penal code (which is mainly the translation of the Shariah) can be breached by the opinion of a marja or grand ayatollah.<br />
<br />
The case of Valian highlights the state of lawlessness that is codified into law in Iran. From the constitution to various codes, supremacy is given to the Shariah, which only can be interpreted by a cleric. This ensures the absolute rule of the clergy over the life of the country, and never allows for the growth and development of the civic laws, and therefore suspends the rise of a robust civil society for the foreseeable future.<br />
<br />
<em>Rasool Nafisi is a scholar in Virginia who specializes in Iranian clergy.</em></p>
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		<title>A View from the Iranian State: Unrest Provides Opportunities for Islamic Republic</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/domestic-relations/a-view-from-the-iranian-state-unrest-provides-opportunities-for-islamic-republic/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Feb 2010 08:24:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=889</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Jasim Husain Ali</em><br />
<em><br />Editor’s Note: Dr. Jasim Husain Ali, a member of the parliament in Bahrain, based this article on his high-level meetings with Iranian officials during his recent trip to Iran.</em><br />
<strong><br />TEHRAN</strong>—Iran’s authorities blame anti-revolutionary forces for taking advantage of understandable&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Jasim Husain Ali</em><br />
<em><br />Editor’s Note: Dr. Jasim Husain Ali, a member of the parliament in Bahrain, based this article on his high-level meetings with Iranian officials during his recent trip to Iran.</em><br />
<strong><br />TEHRAN</strong>—Iran’s authorities blame anti-revolutionary forces for taking advantage of understandable grievances that erupted after the June 2009 presidential election to advance their own objectives to undermine the Islamic Republic. The goals include applying pressures on Iran to make concessions on its controversial nuclear program and to undermine the regime’s image domestically and internationally. The accused include the United States, Great Britain, and Saudi Arabia, as well as the People’s Mujahedeen Organization and groups that support the Shah’s dynasty. <span id="more-889"></span><br />
<br />
Interestingly enough, Tehran is largely pleased with the low-profile stances of the Obama Administration. Conversely, Great Britain is accused of fomenting disturbances through its sizable diplomatic mission in Tehran. Not surprisingly, attempts are being made in different circles in Tehran, including among legislators, to limit diplomatic relations with Great Britain. Still, Saudi Arabia is blamed for employing its media empire, notably the network Al Arabiyah, to spread anti-Iranian propagandas in the Arab World as part of the rivalry between Tehran and Riyadh for regional supremacy. As such, the Saudis are accused of trying to depict Iran as a country that faces serious domestic unrest and instability.<br />
<br />
To the best of my assessment, Iranian authorities are not worried about the fallout of post-election disturbances on the regime’s sustainability. To the contrary, some view the unrest as an opportunity to overcome steady socio-economic challenges, notably underemployment. To be sure, Iran suffers from underemployment, whereby many Iranians work below their capacities in terms of their knowledge, skills, and experience.<br />
<br />
Still, other officials believe the unrest over the past seven months will pave the way for an increase in tolerance of a more liberal society. This is the case because the regime cannot overlook the fact the majority of demonstrations are part of the youth population, with women comprising the majority of those taking part in pro-reform activities. The imposition of stricter Islamic teachings could only further alienate the youth who make up the majority of Iran’s 70–million-plus population, officials say.<br />
<br />
The regime is not utterly annoyed with the reformist movement, because it serves the purpose of checks and balances. In other words, government strategists believe that it is wrong to grant the conservatives a free hand in running the country. However, those in charge would like to see a new leadership emerge within the reformist movement, casting aside figures such as President Mohammad Khatami and presidential candidate Mir Hossein Moussavi.<br />
<br />
With regards to violence, the authorities are convinced that anti-revolutionary elements, rather than government security forces, were behind the killing of Neda Soltan, the young woman killed randomly in June as she attended a protest, and the assassination of Ali Moussavi, who was the nephew of Mir Hossein Moussavi. This belief is based on the argument that violence only aggravates an already charged environment. One source disclosed to me that members of the Iranian intelligence community visited Mir Hossein Moussavi several times to prove the government’s innocence in his nephew’s death.<br />
<br />
The authorities believe that state security forces are the ones who are most exposed to violent attacks, when unrest occurs, not the demonstrators. They particularly point to the Ashura demonstrations in late December, with images showing protestors assaulting security forces. It is suggested that Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei had demanded that the security forces exercise maximum restraint for the December 27 protests in particular because Ashura is regarded as one of the holiest days in Shiite Islam.<br />
<br />
The authorities contend that supporters of presidential candidate Moussavi lack a particular agenda. It is suggested that Moussavi and his supporters merely take advantage of special events and occasions like Ashura to create unrest. A close aid to Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki told me in Tehran on January 17 that he thinks the demonstrations largely will be contained by the end of this year. The state’s strategy focuses on neutralizing opposition leaders Mir Hossein Moussavi and Mehdi Karroubi by denouncing the violent protests on one hand and pressing for solutions within official circles on the other. Indeed, this is happening to some degree: on January 25, Karroubi recognized Ahmadinejad as president.<br />
<br />
The way forward can be summed up from the words of one official, namely “talking tough but not necessarily acting tough.”<br />
<br /><em>Dr. Jasim Husain Ali visited Iran three times since June 2009 presidential election.</em></p>
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		<title>A Unity Plan Could Be Green Movement’s Lifeline</title>
		<link>http://www.insideiran.org/news/a-unity-plan-could-be-green-movement%e2%80%99s-lifeline/</link>
		<comments>http://www.insideiran.org/news/a-unity-plan-could-be-green-movement%e2%80%99s-lifeline/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jan 2010 16:49:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>insideiran</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Domestic Relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured Article]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Features]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.insideiran.org/?p=856</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><em>Babak</em></p>
<p><strong><br />TEHRAN</strong>—After the controversial June 12 presidential election, and the most critical days in the history of the Islamic Republic that followed, elders in various political parties and different factions believe that a unity plan is the only way out of&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Babak</em></p>
<p><strong><br />TEHRAN</strong>—After the controversial June 12 presidential election, and the most critical days in the history of the Islamic Republic that followed, elders in various political parties and different factions believe that a unity plan is the only way out of the current crisis.<span id="more-856"></span><br />
<br />
There are indications that the Green Movement is in favor of this plan, to prevent the movement from becoming too radicalized. But some conservatives, too, favor such a compromise. Moderate conservatives, such as Habibollah Asgar-Oladi, Ali Larijani, Ali Motahhari, and Mohammad-Reza Bahonar, were among key Iranian politicians who directly and indirectly brought up the idea of a unity plan and spoke about their negotiations at the highest levels of government to make this plan a reality. What made this group of seasoned politicians lean toward the views of former President Hashemi-Rafsanjani, who himself introduced a unity plan in July, was their fear of the total annihilation of reason and moderation in running the country and the deepening of the domestic crisis. They also fear that the so-called traditional right, which includes them, will have the same fate as the reformists, who have been politically marginalized by the hardliners.<br />
<br />
Since the election, the pro-government faction has made comments and acted in a way that shows they believe they have enough power to solve the crisis by force. Instead of trying to address the demands of the opposition, they want to ignore their grievances, no matter how costly this might be. Furthermore, it is evident that the radical conservative faction, given their political goals, is in no way willing to negotiate or reconcile with the opposition that protested the results of the June 12 election, but rather are after the total elimination of the reformists from all corners of the Iranian political landscape.<br />
<br />
Despite repeated assertions made by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei regarding the need to respect Hashemi-Rafsanjani (who has been supportive of the goals of the opposition movement and has angered ultra-conservatives), radical positions taken and insulting remarks made by figures such as the hardliner Ruhollah Hosseinian against Rafsanjani have continued. This is evidence that the supporters of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad are moving against the dictates of Ayatollah Khamenei and are trying to add fuel to the fire of crisis.<br />
<br />
Since the Ashura protests in December, protestors have changed their slogans; instead of chanting against the government and election fraud, they now have targeted Supreme Leader Khamenei. According to predictions made months earlier, this shift has pushed the opposition Green Movement out of the reformist framework, which was previously defined as peaceful and nonviolent, and turned it into a movement that is becoming radical and revolutionary.<br />
<br />
Mir Hossein Moussavi’s seventeenth statement, which was issued following the events of Ashura, defended the ideological basis of the Green Movement, while deliberately declining to discredit the government. At the same time, the statement called for moderation and reason in dealing with the issues facing Iranian society. Moussavi put forth five steps as solutions and an exit strategy from the current crisis. This made those in support of easing tensions and ending the crisis happy and gave them some hope for a peaceful and democratic solution to the complicated situation at hand. The state-run media also has shown signs of a compromise. In recent weeks, television and radio, this powerful media controlled by the Supreme Leader, appears willing to give the opposition a forum to express their grievances and talk about the reasons behind the crisis of the past seven months.<br />
<br />
What is certain is that the only way for the survival of the Green Movement, which has a reformist and not revolutionary identity, is to go beyond the current crisis and return calm, peace, and reason back to the mainstream. Two main groups certainly will oppose this analysis. One group is composed of those who seek nothing less than the complete destruction of the Islamic Republic and have pursued the same goal in the past thirty years. This group believes mistakenly that the regime is on the verge of collapse. Therefore, they welcome the radicalization of the movement and encourage it to move to the revolutionary phase. The second group is composed of those who see the suppression of all protestors and dissidents as the only way to protect their interests. They believe in totalitarian methods and welcome the radicalization of the movement, for it then would justify their harsh crackdown on the movement.<br />
<br />
<em>Babak is a political activist and former journalist.</em></p>
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