of high risk of a “regime change” policy. The country may view the current Trump administration as aggressive, but just as indecisive and without the support of its main Western allies. By attracting Americans to an expensive and open conflict, the Iranian leadership may believe it can support the war at the same time. that undermine President Trump’s chances in the next presidential race in 2020.
An Iranian reading of the U.S. political landscape could make Democrats in power more likely to return to some kind of nuclear deal and therefore be more willing to relax the economic sanctions imposed on the country. The problem for Tehran is that time is not on its side. The economic pressure of the sanctions is very damaging to the country. Iran has relatively few cards to play other than threats. Thus, the escalation can be seen as a way out of this crisis.
The American seemed ready
On the other hand, President Trump says “don’t be in a hurry”, as his tweets suggest. to attack Iran after the drone crashed, but then had a moment of reflection and gave up on the measure. Many hope that these reflections from the president will prevail in the coming days.
A war with Iran would indeed be expensive and unpredictable. It would not solve the problem of Iran’s nuclear program or Iran’s growing prominence in the region. This was the indirect result of Washington’s last great war in the Middle East – the destruction of Saddam Hussein’s regime in Iraq. Conflicts, it must be remembered, have unintended consequences.
- World conflict? All that is known about the tension between the United States and IranAmerican attack killed Iranian general Qasem Soleimani, head of the
- elite troop of the Iranian army, appointed as responsible for the invasion of the US embassy in Baghdad, Iraq. Iranian general Qasem Soleimani at the behest
- of the President of the United States,
Donald Trump, has already led Iran to promise “crushing revenge” and has led the world to fear a ‘third war’. On Twitter, #WWIII has been one of the trending topics.Donald Trump justified the death of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani with the need to “protect American officials and military personnel” in the Middle East. The United States underlines that it knew of “plans to attack American diplomats” .
U.S. from the nuclear deal with Iran.
Iran’s president warned this Saturday that the United States will suffer “consequences” and it will not be just now, but “over the next few years”. Escalation of tensionThe escalation of tension betweenUnited States and Iran dates back to May 2018 when Donald Trump unilaterally withdrew the
The Trump move prompted the United States to apply heavy economic sanctions to Iranians who had been suspended after signing the nuclear deal, in 2015, during the Obama administration, but tension between the US and Iran took on new contours last year. In June, two oil tankers, a Norwegian and a Japanese, were hit in the Gulf of Oman, in an attack that the United States quickly identified as an offensive by Iran, because all the technology used in the attack was of Iranian origin.
- An attack on one of the largest refineries in the world in Saudi Arabia has further increased tension between the United States and Iran. Although the attack was claimed by Houthi rebels from Yemen, the United States has again
- accused Iran, responsible for financing the Yemeni group. In late December, an attack by pro-
U.S. territory through missiles is highly unlikely. But according to SkyNews, cyber attacks may be another way Iran has adopted to threaten the U.S. Indirect accession with attacks on U.S. alliesIsrael and Saudi Arabia are the United States’ main ‘allies’ in the Middle East and could be the most targeted easy for Iran’s possible retaliation for the death of General Soleimani.Third World War? For the experts quoted in the international press, there is no possibility of a global conflict unless a great power like Russia, China or the European Union measures forces with the United States.
Iranian forces on the U.S. embassy
in Baghdad lasted about two days and only ended after Trump sent a reinforcement of hundreds of soldiers to the Middle East. Iran’s possible retaliation they launched harsh threats to the United States after the death of General Soleimani. Iranian President Hassan Rohani warned Americans: “They did not realize the big mistake they made” .
- Rohani said that young Iranians “follow and love the path” outlined by the commander of the elite Iranian force Al-Quds and, therefore, in Iran “dozens of
- Soleimani generals will be created, God willing”. Among researchers and experts who have followed the case in the main
- world media, Iran can now retaliate in several ways: 1 – Attacking US positions in the To avenge the death of General
Qassem Soleimani is an objective of Iran and, for Philip Smyth, a researcher at the Washington Institute for Near Eastern Politics, Iranian forces can attack American positions in the East, especially in Iraq.2 – Retaliate in the Persian Gulf of the hypotheses is also the attack in the Persian Gulf that can cause serious disturbances in the transit of oil around the World, leading to repercussions in the economy and in the rise of the price of oil.
SkyNews Iran has the capacity to inflict severe damage to American forces in the Gulf, where thousands of US military personnel, warships and aircraft are located. Remember that these actions in the Gulf are not unprecedented, two British ships were attacked and imprisoned by Iranians in 2019.3 – CyberattacksThe likelihood of Iran making a conventional attack on